88 BARBADOS PUBLIC WORKERS’ CO-OPERATIVE CREDIT UNION LIMITED | SEPARATE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 2022 BARBADOS PUBLIC WORKERS' CO-OPERATIVE CREDIT UNION LIMITED Notes to the Separate Financial Statements For the year ended March 31, 2022 (Expressed in Barbados dollars) 61 23. Financial Risk Management, continued Credit risk, continued Key inputs and assumptions: Measuring expected credit losses is a complex calculation involving many interrelated inputs and assumptions. The key drivers of changes in expected losses under the IFRS 9 model include our internal historical default rates, unemployment rate, GDP and inflation rate. Further details on the key inputs and assumptions used as at March 31, 2022, are provided in Note 2. The following table compares our probability-weighted estimate of expected credit losses for performing loans to expected credit losses estimated in our base case scenario. Results reflect the Stage 1 and Stage 2 allowance for credit losses. Carrying value Base Scenario ($’000) ($’000) As at March 31, 2022 ECL on performing loans 5,199 5,140 As at March 31, 2021 ECL on performing loans 3,514 3,465 Further to our current policy for transfers between stages as described in Note 2, as part of our overlay, we qualitatively increased ECL in stage 2 to reflect the current challenging economic environment. This qualitative adjustment was informed by remaining time to maturity, economic projections, scenario weights and the historical behaviour of our portfolio. The following table illustrates the impact of staging on our ECL by comparing our allowance if all performing loans were in Stage 1, to the actual ECL recorded on these. As at March 31, 2022 As at March 31, 2021 Performing loans Performing loans ($’000) ($’000) ECL – all performing loans in Stage 1 2,799 2,054 Impact of staging 2,400 1,460 Stage 1 and 2 ECL 5,199 3,514
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